Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
June 28, 2007
Rollins Wins It

Jimmy Rollins tied the game with a triple earlier, then in the tenth singles in the winning run to give the Phillies an 8-7 victory over the Reds. Philadelphia moves into sole possesion of second place in the NL East, three games behind the postponed Mets. The two NL East leaders meet tomorrow.


Posted by David Pinto at 10:29 PM | Games | TrackBack (0)
Comments

Nice win, even in a constant rain for five innings.

If the Phillies had any pitching, they would be a great bet for the post season. Rollins, Utley, Howard, Rowand, Victorino, Nunez and even Ruiz are a good core.

You've heard Spahn and Sain and pray for rain. For the Phils it's Hammels, Moyer and pray for a Noah-sized flood because the cupboard is bare.

Maybe they can hang on until Myers comes back. I don't see Gordon ever being effective again. Too many miles on that elbow.

Posted by: Joe in Haddonfield at June 28, 2007 11:20 PM

re: the Phils and their pitching

Joe in Haddonfield needn't be as worried as he seems.

First if you go to baseball-reference.com you can get some park neutral stats on the phils hitting and pitching, which is hard to do by looking at their stats alone since Citizens Bank Park has about 110 % hitter favorable runs impact and 130% hitter favorable home run impact.

When you carve all this away, what you get is that the phils are leading the NL in offense in raw runs and stats, but in actuality, they do not have the best offense in the league; rather, they are about 10% over league average in offense.

Their pitching is about 10% below league average.

Overall, this is a wash, and you see that their runs scored are about equal to their runs allowed. (actually, runs allowed are slightly more than runs scored, so their pythagorean expectation is about two games below .500 right now, so their luck is good right now).

What they need is Hamels and Moyers and wait for Myers. Eaton is winning every other game and though pitching at 75% of league, he's better than a rookie.

The management needs smelling salts or a shot of red bull and get myers starting again.

myers had @15 win shares each of the last two seasons starting. he was an effective starter.

If he could just start and win just 5-8 games and provide 8-12 quality starts the rest of the way, the phils would be in contention the rest of the way.

--art k

Posted by: art kyriazis at June 29, 2007 03:36 AM

the phil's moving myers to the pen is an embarrassment. it's professional malpractice as far as i'm concerned.

Posted by: Tim at June 29, 2007 06:55 AM
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