Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
May 21, 2007
When Beane Counts Go Bad

The Cincinnati Reds own the best Beane Count in the National League. That's pretty amazing, given they sit fifteenth in the National League in terms of winning percentage. The Beane count looks at the rank of home runs and walks for a team. You want lots of homers and walks for your batters, few for your pitchers. If you do all four well, you should score runs and not allow many. So why is the Beane count so far off for the Reds?

There appear to be a few things working against the Reds. The first is that their opponents are making up for the walk difference by picking up more hits. That puts their OBA higher than the Reds batters. And while the Reds are out-homering the opposition, their opponents are knocking out a lot more doubles. So the Reds also trail in slugging percentage.

On top of that, the Reds do very poorly vs. their team averages with runners in scoring position, while the Reds pitchers allow about the same batting averages in that situation. So the Reds in general do two things well that winning team do well, they out homer and out walk their opponents. But they don't reach base other ways, making them a low dimensional offense and pitching staff.


Posted by David Pinto at 11:56 AM | Statistics | TrackBack (0)
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