Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
December 08, 2006
Probabilistic Model of Range, Leftfielders

Here's the outs table for leftfielders:

Probabilistic Model of Range, Leftfielders. Model is Based on 2006 Data Only. Minimum 1000 Balls in Play. Uses Distance for Fly Balls.
Player InPlay Actual Outs Predicted Outs Out Difference Out Ratio
Melky Cabrera 3063 217 198.64 18.36 109.24
Dave Roberts 2887 239 219.66 19.34 108.81
Brandon W Fahey 1164 101 93.56 7.44 107.96
Matt Diaz 1798 163 151.27 11.73 107.75
Reed Johnson 1915 129 120.94 8.06 106.66
Emil Brown 2359 163 152.84 10.16 106.65
Luke B Scott 1188 81 76.76 4.24 105.53
Jason Bay 4269 316 299.59 16.41 105.48
Ryan Langerhans 2240 156 148.87 7.13 104.79
Jason Michaels 3283 214 208.11 5.89 102.83
Andre E Ethier 2779 172 168.24 3.76 102.23
Matt Murton 3026 240 234.98 5.02 102.13
David DeJesus 1736 138 136.42 1.58 101.15
Frank Catalanotto 2308 140 138.53 1.47 101.06
So Taguchi 1141 87 86.31 0.69 100.79
Alfonso Soriano 4405 326 325.21 0.79 100.24
Nick T Swisher 2035 170 169.92 0.08 100.05
Matt T Holliday 4234 277 276.97 0.03 100.01
Cliff Floyd 2280 148 148.21 -0.21 99.86
Carl Crawford 4006 302 302.84 -0.84 99.72
Brad Wilkerson 2106 139 139.59 -0.59 99.58
Garret Anderson 2377 192 193.18 -1.18 99.39
Raul Ibanez 4289 302 304.45 -2.45 99.20
Juan Rivera 1440 126 127.34 -1.34 98.95
Luis Gonzalez 4063 256 259.76 -3.76 98.55
Preston Wilson 2639 156 158.77 -2.77 98.25
Josh D Willingham 3255 206 210.68 -4.68 97.78
Scott Podsednik 3417 245 252.50 -7.50 97.03
Barry Bonds 2708 188 194.71 -6.71 96.56
Pat Burrell 2990 205 212.40 -7.40 96.51
Chris E Duncan 1015 66 68.47 -2.47 96.39
Jay Payton 1442 119 123.80 -4.80 96.12
Kevin Mench 1217 80 83.30 -3.30 96.04
Jeff Conine 1436 88 92.18 -4.18 95.47
Carlos Lee 3883 227 240.61 -13.61 94.34
Craig Monroe 2909 168 178.63 -10.63 94.05
Adam Dunn 4132 279 300.46 -21.46 92.86
Marcus Thames 1193 70 76.87 -6.87 91.07
Manny Ramirez 3151 175 194.87 -19.87 89.80
Bobby Kielty 1030 80 92.02 -12.02 86.94

Comments

Go Melky!

Posted by: sabernar at December 8, 2006 07:14 PM

I think there's good reason there for the Yankees to find Melky quite a bit of time next year. Looks like he'd have been the top LF if he started around 150 games.

Posted by: Adam B. at December 9, 2006 02:10 AM

I'm surprised to see Murton so high on this list. From watching the Cubs in person, it doesn't seem like he gets to a lot of balls and I would consider him an average fielding outfielder at best. But maybe I'm wrong...

Posted by: Kevin at December 9, 2006 01:57 PM
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