Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
September 25, 2006
Massive Tie Review

A five way tie still remains a possibility, with the three main wild card contenders winning yesterday, it's not very likely. If the Astros win all of their remaining games, San Diego needs to go 1-6 this week, and I don't think the probability of that is very high. But the following is one way to get a five way tie:

Record over last week of season
TeamRecord
San Diego1-6
Philadelphia2-5
Los Angeles2-4
St. Louis4-4
Houston7-0

It also works if you give each team one less win. So the Cardinals can sweep the Padres and keep this scenario alive.

What would be every bit as fun, however, is separate three way ties. The Padres, Dodgers and Phillies tie for the Wild Card and NL West, while the Cardinals, Astros and Reds tie for the NL Central. The Reds did a good job moving up by taking 2 out of three so far from the Cubs. In order to get into this situation, St. Louis would need to play a makeup game on Monday. So, on Monday next, there would be a makeup game and an NL West playoff game. If the Monday game forces a central tie, Tuesday would be the Wild Card game and game one of the NL Central playoff. Then Wednesday would be the final game of the NL Central playoff. The NLDS probably couldn't start until Thursday (although if the wild card came from the west, they could play the Mets on Wednesday).

So if the Reds go 7-0, the Astros 6-1 and the Cardinals 3-5, we get a tie. Notice there is leaway here, as the Cincinnati going 4-3, Houston 3-4 and the Cardinals 0-8 works too.

So for all these massive tie scenarios, here's what I'd like to see today:

  • Cincinnati defeats Chicago.
  • Houston defeats Philadelphia.
  • St. Louis defeats San Diego.

This would pull the idle Dodgers into a tie with the Phillies and one game behind the Padres. And in the NL Central, the Astros and the Reds can afford to have St. Louis win as long as they keep pace.


Posted by David Pinto at 08:22 AM | Division Races | TrackBack (0)
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