Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
March 21, 2006
Simulating the Season

Larry Mahnken simulated the 2006 season using three different sets of projections. The Twins do surprisingly well. I guess good pitching can take you a long way.

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Posted by David Pinto at 01:16 PM | Simulations | TrackBack (0)
Comments

Go Phils! In first place in all simulations!! What I find suprising is the systems all project a slight drop in runs scored, but improvement in runs allowed, despite losing Wagner to NY.

Maybe this is the "Madson" effect?

Posted by: pawnking at March 21, 2006 02:37 PM

the CUBS finish second?

oh please

with exactly WHO pitching? and neifi leading off?

and i will believe atlanta finishing third when i see it.

and all these projection systems got oakland finishing first since 2002 and 4 strikes and you out.

Posted by: lisa gray at March 21, 2006 04:21 PM

The A's go back from 7 back of the Angels to 18 ahead. Boy, Loaiza is even better than I thought.

Posted by: Mac at March 21, 2006 08:08 PM

I believe it was actually SG, not Larry, who did the simulations.

Posted by: Greg Tamer at March 22, 2006 02:40 AM

If you aren't pleased with the projections (and I wasn't as a white sox fan) just look at his link at the top for last year's projections. You'll realize why they play baseball with wooden bats and leather balls, not computer programs.

Posted by: The Bambino at March 22, 2006 10:22 PM
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