Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
January 12, 2006
Dollar Store

Lookout Landing wonders why teams are passing on picking up Russell Branyan for $1:

Maybe someone will pay the $1 it'll take to claim Branyan off the wire, but I doubt it; it's not like $20,000 would've scared off potential suitors. He's probably going to clear waivers, and I'm going to sit here all confused - not because I don't know the reasons why everyone passed on Branyan, but because I don't know why those reasons are still considered so important.

I have to disagree a bit. If you look at longer term splits for Branyan (since 2000), his lefty-righty difference isn't that great. His strength is hitting for power; more than 50% of his career hits are for extra bases. But he doesn't get a hit that often, and although he draws a good deal of walk, his overall OBA is pretty poor.

The problem with Branyan is more of a demographic one. With teams carrying more and more relievers, bench players need to be more versatile. If you send Russ up against a righty, the opposing manager brings a lefty out of the bullpen. You either have to eat the plate appearance by letting Branyan hit, or waste a player sending a righty to the plate. If you have 15 position players, you can afford the luxury of Russell Branyan. With 13, he's not worth the dollar.


Posted by David Pinto at 09:08 AM | Players | TrackBack (0)
Comments

But his career OPS vs both lefties and righties is pretty good (esp. for a 'scrub'). He is close to .800 vs L and R. That's pretty good for a backup player. Sure his BA and OBA are a bit low, but he can really slug. He seems like a David Kingman type player who can play 3B.

Posted by: sabernar at January 12, 2006 10:19 AM

Mike Piazza and Frank Thomas similarly do not have jobs. Being a free agent most suited to play DH or to pinch hit (in Branyan's case) is a curse.

Posted by: DNL at January 12, 2006 10:36 AM

While I agree with your thoughts on roster flexibility, I don't know how relevant Branyan's splits from that far back are to the current discussion. Pretty much every projection system I've ever seen puts the bulk of the weight on a player's most recent three years, and over that span Branyan has smacked righties around while struggling against lefties in a limited sample.

Posted by: Jeff Sullivan at January 12, 2006 05:27 PM

Just a quick note to sabernar : Have you ever watched Branyan "play" 3b? He plays third base about as well as Rush Limbaugh raps. (Okay, bad joke). Branyan is a butcher out there. And there's about a hundred minor leaguers with similar skills who come a lot cheaper (that's true of Thomas and Piazza, too, which is why they're each jobless as well.)

Posted by: david at January 13, 2006 12:36 AM

I don't think there are about a hundred minor leaguers with Branyan's power.

Posted by: Jeff Sullivan at January 13, 2006 03:15 PM

I think, in general, there are a lot of DH/no-field mashers who, if given an opportunity, would hit 30 homers and provide nothing much else. Remember Bubba Trammel? Tony Batista? There's not much to suggest Branyan's better than either of those guys, except maybe reputation. Maybe a hundred is an exaggeration, but I bet every organization has at least one career minor-leaguer with Branyan's skill set, who we're not talking about simply because he's never gotten a chance to show it.

Posted by: david at January 13, 2006 06:42 PM

i miss bubba

Posted by: colin at January 15, 2006 02:11 AM

Branyan has a career .807 OPS compared to Batista's .756 OPS. Batista has a career OBP below .300! Branyan could be had for league min, Batista was signed for $1.25 mil. NO comparison.

If Branyan is healthy in 2006 (big if) he would be a fine addition as a backup 3B/1B/corner OF.

Please point to the dozens of career minorleaguers that could hit 30+ HR's a year while keeping a reasonable OBP (above .320). What would that translate to an average AAA league? 40-45 HR's a year? Please.

Posted by: Russell Luzinski at January 17, 2006 02:50 PM

I don't believe Russ Branyan is capable of hitting 30 HRs a year anymore. He's 30 years old, has never batted more than 380 times in a season, and his HR/AB ratio has declined from its peak 5 years ago. I would say 20-25 is more likely. But no team would give him that many at bats because he can't play defensively anywhere and he doesn't hit well enough to be a DH in the AL.
And the Batista signing was a terrible, terrible decision that the Twins are going to regret.
Does anybody remember Jeff Manto or Russ Morman? Orestes Destrade? Henry Rodriguez? Karim Garcia? Guys like that are a dime a dozen. I don't believe Russ Branyan is much better than them. He just, for whatever reason, has a better reputation. I guess it's that impressive .327 OBP...

Posted by: david at January 17, 2006 07:52 PM

And, just for edification, I checked out Branyan's career stats. He's never hit more than 24 homers in the bigs, and that was many seasons ago. The notion that he'll crank out 30 this year is pretty delusional...a river doesn't run uphill. Branyan is Mark Sweeney or Ryan Klesko at this point. Except Klesko is probably a better 3rd baseman.

Posted by: david at January 18, 2006 12:47 AM
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