April 26, 2005
One Run Games and Winning
Bill Ferris sent me this post on the correlation of winning in one-run games and winning overall. His nice graphs show the randomness of the whole thing. Notice that the correlation between overall winning percentage and winning percentage in one-run games is .57. That means, given any team, you could probably do as well guessing if they are above or below their overall percentage in one-run games.
Posted by David Pinto at
08:17 AM
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It's good insight to plot one run win % vs. non-one run win %. Gives you a very good visual feel of how weakly correlated the two statistics are :-)