Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
April 16, 2005
Finish What You Start

There were three complete games last night, brining this season's total to ten. Bruce Chen threw a four hitter at the Yankees, allowing just one run and lowering his ERA to 1.80. Aaron Heilman came close to pitching the first no-hitter in Mets history, but settled for a 1-hit shutout of the Marlins. Derek Lowe, wearing a Brooklyn jersey, kept the Padres off stride as he spun a three-hit shutout. So, are complete games up this season? Not yet. (Click graph for a larger image.)

Chart of Complete Game Percentage.

This is a pretty amazing trend. If you look at the linear regression line, we should have hit zero complete games a couple of years ago. Which raises the question; when does a trend become over done? How bad does the save percentage of a bullpen have to be to start trusting your starter longer? You see the Marlins starting to use their pitchers deep into the game (with low pitch counts, I might add). Will others start to follow?


Posted by David Pinto at 08:49 AM | Pitchers | TrackBack (3)
Comments

Looks like the Marlins may have just cost themselves a win by taking their starter (Leiter) out after seven innings. He was very sharp (one run in seven innings) and showed no signs of losing control (only one baserunner each in 6th & 7th innings, both walks). I bet they took him out simply b/c he crossed the century mark (104 pitches through 7 innings)...

Posted by: Jason at April 16, 2005 04:44 PM

Same thing with Mussina today. He had 94 pitches and Torre took him out after a 2 out single. Then the bullpen blew the lead.

Posted by: sabernar at April 16, 2005 08:08 PM

well, maybe they LOOKED tired at those pitch counts.

maybe the manager tryin to stretch them out for the season...

Posted by: lisa gray at April 16, 2005 09:47 PM

Jack McKeon's always been of the belief that pitchers are babied too much and get taken out before they should be, so it's no surprise the Marlins starters have more CGs than anyone else.

Posted by: Jared B. at April 16, 2005 10:34 PM
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