Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
January 18, 2005
Grieveous Career

Scanning the list of available free agents today I noticed the name of Ben Grieve. Ben has been a puzzle to me since 1999. He had a great 1998, posting 22 win shares at age 22, his first full season in the majors. He leveled off at the 16-17 win share level for a few seasons, and has been in decline since. It has to be unusual for a player to have his best season at age 22, especially since his only real medical problem was during the 2003 season when he needed surgery to fix a blood clot in his shoulder.

Ben's career OBA is .367, but his slugging percentage is an unremarkable .443. He does hit doubles, however. He also hits a ton of ground balls. Maybe that's the problem. His best home run seasons are the two in which he got the ball in the air the most.

Still, it strikes me that he should be of some value to a team. He'd be a good #2 hitter. (AL #2 hitters averaged a .337 OBA and a .420 slugging percentage in 2004; NL .337 and .408). A fast artifical surface might help his grounders get through the infield. There aren't too many of those left, however. He seems like someone Toronto should want to pick up for under $1 million dollars. At age 29, he seems worth the risk.


Posted by David Pinto at 09:27 AM | Free Agents | TrackBack (0)
Comments

I don't know why Grieve has gone down so badly, but I've finally accepted that he's not coming back. He's probably best suited to a career as a bat off the bench now like Dave Magadan or the aging Rusty Staub.

Posted by: Crank at January 18, 2005 01:18 PM

Yeah, he'd be a fine 4th OF. Probably be better than Ruben Sierra.

Posted by: sabernar at January 18, 2005 01:49 PM

Trust me, if Grieve can't cut it with Beane's A's, I doubt his stats will impress other GMs around the league.

Posted by: wilson at January 18, 2005 01:51 PM

wouldn't grieve have been a better choice for atlanta than raul. Less risk of being a cancer, with relativly the same upside.

Posted by: Gibbs at January 18, 2005 05:24 PM

Grieve had a nice rebound last year. He's a fine choice as a platoon guy or reserve.

Posted by: Al at January 18, 2005 06:25 PM

Well, his #s aren't bad, but they aren't good for a RF/LF. If he played 2nd, I think things would be different.

Posted by: Rob at January 18, 2005 08:36 PM
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