September 20, 2004
Ichiro Odds
Ichiro Suzuki only accumulated 3 hits in the four days I was gone, and his odds of breaking Sisler's record have dropped with his falling batting average. He'll need 22 hits in an estimated 57 AB over the Mariners last 13 games to break the record.
| Chance of 258 Hits | Based on 2004 | Based on Career |
| Probability of Breaking Record | .426 | .258 |
| 95% Confidence, Low End | 14 | 12 |
| 95% Confidence, High End | 28 | 26 |
The record is still well within the 95% confidence range. So while at this point it's more likely that he won't break the record, he could still do it without his batting average being significantly different that his career average (statistically speaking).
Posted by David Pinto at
09:48 AM
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Amazing. Even with the extra 8 games it doesn't look good for Ichiro. A record like this means having to be consistent for a whole season. If he can't do it this year, it may be a long time before someone does.
i'm still rooting for the singles guy!!!
GO ICHIRO!!!
Another game goes by, and he's getting closer to it. Go Ichiro!