September 07, 2004
Ichiro Odds
Ichiro Suzuki had 2 hits last night against the Indians (the Mariners had five total). Needless to say the odds are up again. Ichiro now needs 32 hits to break the record.
| Chance of 258 Hits | Based on 2004 | Based on Career |
| Probability of Breaking Record | .979 | .884 |
| 95% Confidence, Low End | 32 | 28 |
| 95% Confidence, High End | 52 | 47 |
Unlike Bonds, the opposition has no problem pitching to Ichiro, since most of his hits are singles (15.5% of Suzuki's hits are for extra bases) and there's no one to drive Ichiro in once he's on base (he's only scored 89 runs despite great on-base numbers). They'll keep pitching to him.
Posted by David Pinto at
09:33 AM
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