Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
September 07, 2004
Ichiro Odds

Ichiro Suzuki had 2 hits last night against the Indians (the Mariners had five total). Needless to say the odds are up again. Ichiro now needs 32 hits to break the record.

Chance of 258 HitsBased on 2004Based on Career
Probability of Breaking Record.979.884
95% Confidence, Low End3228
95% Confidence, High End5247

Unlike Bonds, the opposition has no problem pitching to Ichiro, since most of his hits are singles (15.5% of Suzuki's hits are for extra bases) and there's no one to drive Ichiro in once he's on base (he's only scored 89 runs despite great on-base numbers). They'll keep pitching to him.


Posted by David Pinto at 09:33 AM | Records | TrackBack (0)