Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
July 02, 2004
GWRBI

Andrew Godfrey of Baseball, Etcetera writes:


I don't remember the rationale for not including the GWRBI in boxscores any more. It was one of my favorite item to look for in a boxscore. Maybe you can clue me in to why it isn't used nowadays.

I love the Game Winning RBI not because it was such a great stat, but because it demonstrated how nearly impossible it is to define clutch ability. The people who wanted this stat included in boxscores thought that there was some unique ability to drive in runs in game situations that was being missed. The stat was defined as:

Credited to the batter who drives in the run that gives his team a lead that it never relinquishes.

Which I believe is a very good definition for the stat. However, the GWRBI proved to be a disappointment to some for two reasons:

  1. The people who had the most RBI tended to have the most GWRBI.

  2. A lot of GWRBI game in the early innings of games, which clutch proponents didn't think constituted a clutch situation.


The GWRBI showed something that sabermetricians had already known; the best players are the clutch players, and teams that get the early lead tend to win. Since the GWRBI brought nothing new to the discussion (and it was embarassing to the pro-clutch (Elias) stat keepers) it was dropped.


Posted by David Pinto at 10:13 AM | Statistics | TrackBack (0)
Comments

Thank you for taking time to make such a detailed explanation of why the GWRBI is not used anymore. I am thinking it may have been better to just post the GWRBI in the boxscore if it was during the 7th, 8th or 9th or in extra innings...sort of like a late pressure GWRBI. It does make perfect sense that the best RBI man of a team would have the most GWRBI's in a season so I understand that reasoning.

Posted by: Andrew Godfrey at July 2, 2004 10:53 AM

What's interesting is, we all agreed GWRBI is a worthless stat, but wins for pitchers is figured the exact same way. I'm not as down on "wins" as some, but it's hard to disagree that the method for figuring them is a bit odd.

Posted by: Al at July 2, 2004 11:14 AM

What if they altered the stat definition to only include RBI's from the later innings...like maybe 6th inning onward or 7th inning onward, and then go further by making it only include RBI's if the team's coming from behind to win.

Maybe that still wouldn't help prove who a clutch player is any more than all the other stuff, but it certainly could be a good stat to sum up a clutch player instead of having to look at all their stats and figure it out?

And if I remember right, Keith Hernandez had more GWRBI's than anyone but I don't remember him being generally considered one of the guys with the most RBI, so I never really followed that argument people use that the GWRBI was usually gotten by whoever had the most RBI's.

It all makes me wonder tho...exactly what stat or stats, really reveal a clutch player? I never really hear people talk about that when they say that GWRBI's fall short of showing it. There must be something better, right? Is it OPS? RBI's themselves? TB's? Something else?

Posted by: Devon at July 2, 2004 11:53 AM

I think that even if you restricted to the late innings, all you would find is that the players with the most RBIs tend to have the most GWRBIs. I think Bill James put it best when he said (to paraphrase): "There certainly is such a thing as clutch hitting; you can see it every week. But there is no evidence for the existence of a class of clutch hitters."

Posted by: wsm at July 2, 2004 02:45 PM

There is evidence. Google: "Andy Dolphin" Clutch.

Posted by: Tangotiger at July 4, 2004 11:04 PM

Devon, if you're still around. I seem to recall a baseball card of Keith Hernandez's in the mid-80s that showed he led the league in GWRBIs the previous year. If you saw the same card, it's possible that's how you have the impression he was a leading GWRBI guy ... because I don't recall any other cards having that info for any other players. The card company may have only used that stat around that time for a year or two, giving anyone who happened to see KH's card that year this "odd feeling" that KH was a real GWRBI hitter. Of course, this is just anecdotal evidence.

Posted by: Demogenes Aristophanes at July 6, 2004 10:15 PM