September 12, 2018

Massive Tie Scenario

The probability of a three-way tie improved in the NL West Tuesday night as the Diamondbacks beat the Rockies 6-3 while the Dodgers lost to the Reds 3-1. That raises the probability of a tie to 0.0146. The most likely win total for a three-way tie drop to 87.

The Cardinals won again, reducing the probability of a three-way tie for the NL Wild card to .0079. The most likely win total for that one would be 88 wins. This scenario is losing ground quickly.

For today, the best results for a massive tie would be:

  • The Dodgers defeat the Reds.
  • The Cardinals fall to the Pirates.
  • The Diamondbacks beat the Rockies.

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