September 20, 2014

Massive Tie Scenarios

The four-way tie among the AL Central and Wild Card contenders had a decent night, with the Tigers pounding the Royals, the Mariners beating Houston big, and the Athletics winning a low scoring game against the Phillies. The four-way tie remains possible at 92 wins:

Tigers 7-2
Athletics 8-1
Royals 9-1
Mariners 9-0

As long as Kansas City doesn’t get swept by the Tigers, this scenario should hold up into early next week. If a three-way tie for the two wild card slots emerge from this, that’s very good as well.

Unfortunately, the three-way tie for the second wild card slot in the NL keeps falling apart. The Pirates beat the Brewers and the Braves lost, so Atlanta is on the edge of elimination. The tie only works at 85 wins:

Pirates 2-7
Brewers 6-2
Braves 9-0

The Brewers and Braves need to win all six remaining games with the Pirates. I suspect the way these teams are playing that we have very little time left for this scenario to live.

A three way tie between the Pirates, Giants, and one or both of their division winners doesn’t do much, since the wild card seeding would be determined by records after the divisions were settled.

For today, the best results would be:

  • Kansas City defeats Detroit
  • Oakland defeats Philadelphia
  • Milwaukee beats Pittsburgh
  • Atlanta wins over the Mets
  • Seattle downs Houston

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